aedabdd37b
suggest/quant_investment_engine_v8_9_portfolio_optimizer_canonical_refactored.yaml의
implementation_todo_v8_9(P0~P4) 전체를 spec/tool/golden case 레벨로 구현.
- P0: PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1, SELL_LOT_PARETO_SELECTOR_V1, FORECAST_SIMULATION_ENGINE_V1
- P1: SECTOR_EXPOSURE_GRAPH_V1/LEADER_LIFECYCLE_GATE_V1, EXECUTION_CAPACITY_LADDER_V1, MODEL_GOVERNANCE_KILL_SWITCH_V1
- P2: SCENARIO_SHOCK_MATRIX_V1, TRANSITION_SET_ENUMERATOR_V1, IMMUTABLE_DECISION_LEDGER_V1, EXECUTION_PLAN_COMPILER_V1
- P3: STATE_VECTOR_CONSTRUCTOR_V1, WALK_FORWARD_BOOTSTRAP_V1, TRANSITION_SET_ENUMERATOR_V1(MRC/CVaR 확장),
REBALANCE_CADENCE_GATE_V1, WEEKLY_LEGACY_TRANSFER_PLAN_V1
기존 regime/cluster 연동 정책 수치(현금방어선, 반도체 cap)는 그대로 유지하고 신규 cap 필드만 추가.
spec/09_decision_flow.yaml과 runtime/active_artifact_manifest.yaml에 전 엔진 배선 완료.
governance/todo/v8_9_p{0,1,2,3}_adoption_plan.yaml에 각 단계 작업 추적 기록.
검증: validate_specs/validate_golden_coverage_100(100%)/validate_calibration_registry_v1/
validate_schema_model_generation_v1/validate_agents_shrink_v1 전부 PASS. golden test 53/53 PASS.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
932 lines
33 KiB
YAML
932 lines
33 KiB
YAML
schema_version: formula_domain.v1
|
||
source: C:\Temp\data_feed\spec\13_formula_registry.yaml
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domain: portfolio
|
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formulas:
|
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TOTAL_HEAT_V1:
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purpose: 손절 기준 총 위험노출 계산
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inputs:
|
||
- field: average_cost
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||
source: account_snapshot
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unit: KRW_per_share
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- field: stop_price
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||
source: account_snapshot
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unit: KRW_per_share
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- field: quantity
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||
source: account_snapshot.holding_quantity
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unit: shares
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- field: total_asset
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unit: KRW
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expression: sum((average_cost - stop_price) * quantity for each confirmed account_snapshot
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holding) / total_asset * 100
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output:
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field: total_heat_pct
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unit: percent
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missing_policy:
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stop_price: if atr20 exists use entry_price - atr20*2.0 else assume portfolio
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heat contribution cap breach
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quantity: NO_TOTAL_HEAT
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total_asset: NO_TOTAL_HEAT
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gates:
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- if: total_heat_pct >= 10
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action: BLOCK_NEW_BUY
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- if: 7 <= total_heat_pct < 10
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action: HALVE_NEW_BUY_QUANTITY
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- if: total_heat_pct < 7
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action: ALLOW_CONTINUE
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canonical_ref: spec/risk/aggregate_risk.yaml:risk_control.aggregate_risk_cap
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owner: quant_team
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lifecycle_state: active
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input_fields:
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- average_cost
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- stop_price
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- quantity
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- total_asset
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output_fields:
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- total_heat_pct
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golden_cases: []
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activation_threshold:
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min_t20_sample: 30
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retirement_condition: performance_degradation
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RISK_BUDGET_CASCADE_V1:
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purpose: base risk budget에 Bayesian, 성과, 국면, Kelly 감액을 순서대로 적용
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inputs:
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- field: base_risk_budget
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unit: ratio
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default: 0.007
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- field: net_return_feedback_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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||
default: 1.0
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- field: performance_brake_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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default: 1.0
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- field: regime_reset_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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default: 1.0
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- field: bayesian_confidence_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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- field: kelly_brake_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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default: 1.0
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expression: base_risk_budget * net_return_feedback_multiplier * performance_brake_multiplier
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* regime_reset_multiplier * bayesian_confidence_multiplier * kelly_brake_multiplier
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output:
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field: final_risk_budget
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unit: ratio
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floor_rule:
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if: final_risk_budget < 0.001
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action: NO_BET
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canonical_ref: spec/05_position_sizing.yaml:position_sizing.cascade_risk_budget_rule
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owner: quant_team
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lifecycle_state: active
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input_fields:
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- base_risk_budget
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- net_return_feedback_multiplier
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- performance_brake_multiplier
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- regime_reset_multiplier
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- bayesian_confidence_multiplier
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- kelly_brake_multiplier
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output_fields:
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- final_risk_budget
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missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
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golden_cases: []
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activation_threshold:
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min_t20_sample: 30
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retirement_condition: performance_degradation
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POSITION_SIZE_V1:
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purpose: 최종 정수 매수수량 산출
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inputs:
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- field: total_asset
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unit: KRW
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- field: final_risk_budget
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unit: ratio
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- field: atr20
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unit: KRW_per_share
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- field: atr_multiplier
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unit: ratio
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default: 1.5
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- field: available_cash
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unit: KRW
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- field: entry_price
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unit: KRW_per_share
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- field: target_weight_limit_amount
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unit: KRW
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- field: sector_limit_amount
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unit: KRW
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- field: liquidity_limit_amount
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unit: KRW
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intermediate_outputs:
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atr_quantity: floor((total_asset * final_risk_budget) / (atr20 * atr_multiplier))
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cash_limit_quantity: floor(available_cash / entry_price)
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target_weight_limit_quantity: floor(target_weight_limit_amount / entry_price)
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sector_limit_quantity: floor(sector_limit_amount / entry_price)
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liquidity_limit_quantity: floor(liquidity_limit_amount / entry_price)
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expression: min(atr_quantity, cash_limit_quantity, target_weight_limit_quantity,
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sector_limit_quantity, liquidity_limit_quantity)
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output:
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field: final_quantity
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unit: shares_integer
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missing_policy:
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atr20: NO_BUY_QUANTITY
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total_asset: NO_BUY_QUANTITY
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available_cash: NO_BUY_QUANTITY
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entry_price: NO_BUY_QUANTITY
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target_weight_limit_amount: use very large number only if portfolio rule says
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NOT_APPLICABLE
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sector_limit_amount: use very large number only if sector cap says NOT_APPLICABLE
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liquidity_limit_amount: allow PARTIAL only for report; BUY validation_status
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cannot PASS
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canonical_ref: spec/05_position_sizing.yaml:position_sizing.volatility_targeting
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owner: quant_team
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lifecycle_state: active
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input_fields:
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- total_asset
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- final_risk_budget
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- atr20
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- atr_multiplier
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- available_cash
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- entry_price
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- target_weight_limit_amount
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- sector_limit_amount
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- liquidity_limit_amount
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output_fields:
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- final_quantity
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golden_cases: []
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activation_threshold:
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min_t20_sample: 30
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retirement_condition: performance_degradation
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PORTFOLIO_BAND_STATUS_V1:
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purpose: 현재 비중이 목표 밴드보다 낮은지, 정상인지, 초과인지 판정
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inputs:
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- field: current_weight_pct
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unit: percent
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- field: target_band_min_pct
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unit: percent
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- field: target_band_max_pct
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unit: percent
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rules:
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- if: current_weight_pct < target_band_min_pct
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status: UNDERWEIGHT
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action: ADD_ALLOWED_IF_ALL_GATES_PASS
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- if: target_band_min_pct <= current_weight_pct <= target_band_max_pct
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status: IN_BAND
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action: HOLD_OR_SELECTIVE_ADD
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- if: current_weight_pct > target_band_max_pct
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status: OVERWEIGHT
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action: TRIM_REVIEW
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output:
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field: portfolio_band_status
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unit: enum
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missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. add/trim 결론 보류.
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canonical_ref: spec/risk/portfolio_exposure.yaml:portfolio_exposure_framework.target_allocation_structure
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owner: quant_team
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lifecycle_state: active
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input_fields:
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- current_weight_pct
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- target_band_min_pct
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- target_band_max_pct
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output_fields:
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- portfolio_band_status
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golden_cases: []
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activation_threshold:
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min_t20_sample: 30
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retirement_condition: performance_degradation
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PORTFOLIO_BETA_V1:
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purpose: 보유 포지션의 시가기준 가중평균 베타를 산출하여 팩터 과집중 판단에 사용
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inputs:
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- field: beta_i
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source: data_feed.Beta for each holding i
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unit: ratio
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- field: market_value_i
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source: account_snapshot.holding_quantity × close_price
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unit: KRW
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- field: total_equity_value
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source: sum(market_value_i)
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unit: KRW
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expression: sum(beta_i × market_value_i / total_equity_value) for each holding
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with known beta
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output:
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field: portfolio_beta
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unit: ratio
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missing_policy:
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beta_i_missing_single: '해당 종목 제외 후 부분 산출. 제외 종목 시가 비중이 30% 초과 시 결과에 "(PARTIAL
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— Beta 미확인 {N}개 종목 제외)" 표기.
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'
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beta_i_missing_all: NO_PORTFOLIO_BETA. 팩터 리스크 점검 PARTIAL 표기.
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total_equity_value_zero: NO_PORTFOLIO_BETA
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example:
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holdings:
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- name: 삼성전자
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market_value: 100000000
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beta: 1.1
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- name: SK하이닉스
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market_value: 80000000
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beta: 1.3
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- name: 한화에어로스페이스
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market_value: 40000000
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beta: 1.6
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total_equity: 220000000
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result: (1.1×100 + 1.3×80 + 1.6×40) / 220 = (110 + 104 + 64) / 220 = 278/220
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≈ 1.26
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canonical_ref: spec/risk/portfolio_exposure.yaml:portfolio_exposure_framework.factor_risk_limit
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version: 2026-05-18_ROUTING_OPTIMIZATION_V1
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owner: quant_team
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lifecycle_state: active
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input_fields:
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- beta_i
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- market_value_i
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- total_equity_value
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output_fields:
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- portfolio_beta
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golden_cases: []
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activation_threshold:
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min_t20_sample: 30
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retirement_condition: performance_degradation
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PORTFOLIO_CORRELATION_GATE_V1:
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purpose: '위성 포지션들 간 20D 수익률 Pearson 상관관계를 계산해 동일 방향 클러스터가 포트폴리오 하락 리스크를 증폭시키는지
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감지한다. 개별 Beta x 상관관계 조정으로 실질 포트폴리오 Beta(satellite_cluster_beta) 산출.
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'
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applicable: calcApexExecutionHarness_ 포트폴리오 집계 단계. SAPG_V1 이후 실행.
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inputs:
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- field: ticker
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- field: price.ret20D
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- field: beta_proxy
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- field: weight_pct
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computed:
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correlation_matrix: 각 위성 쌍 (i,j) Pearson 상관계수. 데이터 부족 시 ret20D/globalKospiRet20D_
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프록시.
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satellite_cluster_beta: sum(weight_i * weight_j * beta_i * beta_j * corr_ij)
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for all i,j pairs
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effective_portfolio_beta: (core_weight * core_beta) + satellite_cluster_beta
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gate_status:
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CORRELATION_BLOCK:
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condition: satellite_cluster_beta > 1.5 AND corr >= 0.70인 위성 쌍이 2쌍 이상
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action: 고상관 약한 위성 ADD 금지, REVIEW 위성 우선 정리, 실질 beta 보고서 표기 의무
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CORRELATION_WARN:
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condition: satellite_cluster_beta > 1.2 OR corr >= 0.70인 위성 쌍이 1쌍
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action: 신규 위성 편입 시 저상관 후보 우선
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CORRELATION_PASS:
|
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condition: satellite_cluster_beta <= 1.2
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action: 정상. M2 독립 적용.
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output_fields:
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||
- field: satellite_cluster_beta
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- field: effective_portfolio_beta
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- field: high_corr_pairs
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unit: list [{ticker1,ticker2,corr_coef}]
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- field: correlation_gate_status
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unit: enum [CORRELATION_PASS,CORRELATION_WARN,CORRELATION_BLOCK]
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ground_truth: harness
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llm_allowed: cite_only
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prohibition:
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- LLM이 상관행렬 직접 계산 금지
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- 개별 beta 낮아도 satellite_cluster_beta 높으면 분산 됐다 서술 금지
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output:
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field: satellite_cluster_beta
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additional_fields:
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- effective_portfolio_beta
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- high_corr_pairs
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- correlation_gate_status
|
||
version: 2026-05-21_PCG_V1
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||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- ticker
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- price.ret20D
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||
- beta_proxy
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||
- weight_pct
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
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||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
DYNAMIC_HEAT_GATE_V1:
|
||
purpose: '국면별 총 위험노출 임계값을 산출해 신규 매수 차단 여부를 결정한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
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inputs:
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- field: market_regime
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unit: enum
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||
- field: total_heat_pct
|
||
unit: pct
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||
output:
|
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field: heat_gate_status
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- market_regime
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- total_heat_pct
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||
expected_outputs:
|
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- heat_gate_status
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- heat_gate_threshold_pct
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||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
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- heat_gate_status
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
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min_t20_sample: 30
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||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
POSITION_SIZE_REGIME_SCALE_V1:
|
||
purpose: '국면별 포지션 크기 스케일을 결정론적으로 산출한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
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inputs:
|
||
- field: market_regime
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unit: enum
|
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output:
|
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field: regime_size_scale
|
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input_fields:
|
||
- market_regime
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expected_outputs:
|
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- regime_size_scale
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- regime_size_scale
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
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min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
DRAWDOWN_GUARD_V1:
|
||
purpose: '연속 손절/성과 악화 구간에서 신규 매수 수량을 자동 축소하거나 차단한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: win_loss_streak_state
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
- field: win_loss_streak_buy_scale
|
||
unit: multiplier
|
||
output:
|
||
field: drawdown_guard_state
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- consecutive_loss_count
|
||
- recent_win_loss_state
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- drawdown_guard_state
|
||
- drawdown_buy_scale
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- drawdown_guard_state
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
POSITION_COUNT_LIMIT_V1:
|
||
purpose: '동시 보유 종목 수 상한과 초과 여부를 판단한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: position_count
|
||
unit: integer
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: position_count_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- position_count
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- position_count_gate
|
||
- position_count_max
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- position_count_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
SINGLE_POSITION_WEIGHT_CAP_V1:
|
||
purpose: '단일 종목 비중 상한과 초과 TRIM 필요 여부를 판단한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: single_position_weight_json
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: single_position_weight_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- position_weight_pct
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- single_position_weight_gate
|
||
- weight_cap_pct
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- single_position_weight_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
REGIME_TRIM_GUIDANCE_V1:
|
||
purpose: '국면별 현금확보용 TRIM 우선순위를 결정한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: regime_adjusted_sell_priority_json
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: regime_trim_guidance
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
- sector_rank
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- regime_trim_guidance
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- regime_trim_guidance
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
HEAT_CONCENTRATION_ALERT_V1:
|
||
purpose: '단일 종목이 총 Heat의 과도한 비중을 차지하는지 경보를 낸다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: heat_share_pct
|
||
unit: pct
|
||
output:
|
||
field: heat_concentration_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- heat_share_pct
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- heat_concentration_gate
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- heat_concentration_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_LIMIT_V1:
|
||
purpose: '섹터 편중 한도와 신규 BUY 차단 여부를 판단한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: sector_concentration_json
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: sector_concentration_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- sector_concentration_pct
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- sector_concentration_gate
|
||
- sector_concentration_limit_pct
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- sector_concentration_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
PORTFOLIO_DRAWDOWN_GATE_V1:
|
||
purpose: '포트폴리오 고점 대비 낙폭을 산출해 신규 BUY 차단 여부를 판단한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: portfolio_peak_krw
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
- field: total_asset_krw
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
output:
|
||
field: portfolio_drawdown_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- portfolio_peak_krw
|
||
- total_asset_krw
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- portfolio_drawdown_gate
|
||
- portfolio_drawdown_pct
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- portfolio_drawdown_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
SECTOR_ROTATION_MOMENTUM_V1:
|
||
purpose: '섹터 로테이션 모멘텀 상태와 신규 매수 적합성을 판정한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: sector
|
||
unit: string
|
||
- field: momentum_state
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: sector_rotation_momentum_json
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- sector
|
||
- momentum_state
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- sector_rotation_momentum_json
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- sector_rotation_momentum_json
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
MARKET_WEIGHT_AWARE_CLUSTER_GATE_V1:
|
||
purpose: '시장 반도체 비중을 반영한 동적 클러스터 차단/경고 임계값을 산출한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: semiconductor_cluster_json
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: semiconductor_cluster_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- kospi_semi_weight_pct
|
||
- combined_pct
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- cluster_gate
|
||
- cap_pct
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- semiconductor_cluster_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
LEADER_POSITION_WEIGHT_CAP_V1:
|
||
purpose: '주도주 종목별 차등 비중 상한과 초과 TRIM 필요 여부를 산출한다.
|
||
|
||
'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: single_position_weight_json
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: market_regime
|
||
unit: enum
|
||
output:
|
||
field: single_position_weight_gate
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- ticker
|
||
- position_weight_pct
|
||
- market_regime
|
||
expected_outputs:
|
||
- leader_position_weight_gate
|
||
- weight_cap_pct
|
||
llm_allowed: cite_only
|
||
version: 2026-05-30_PHASE8
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- single_position_weight_gate
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING. 계산 결과를 추정하지 않는다.
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
REGIME_CONDITIONAL_MACRO_FACTOR_V1:
|
||
purpose: 거시팩터 종목별 FX 민감도 베타 적용 — 단일팩터 전 종목 균일 지배 차단 (Direction SFP1)
|
||
agents_md_ref: 'Direction SFP1: SINGLE_FACTOR_DOMINANCE_CAP_V1'
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: base_macro_score
|
||
unit: ratio_0_1
|
||
- field: ticker
|
||
unit: string
|
||
- field: ticker_type
|
||
unit: 'enum: export | domestic | neutral'
|
||
expression: base_macro_score x fx_sensitivity_beta(ticker_type)
|
||
components:
|
||
fx_sensitivity_beta:
|
||
export: 1.2
|
||
domestic: 0.7
|
||
neutral: 1.0
|
||
note: '수출주(삼성전자·SK하이닉스 등): FX 민감도 20% 가중. 내수주: 30% 축소.'
|
||
output:
|
||
field: macro_factor_applied
|
||
unit: ratio_0_1
|
||
gate:
|
||
condition: single_factor_max_share_pct > 50
|
||
result: SINGLE_FACTOR_DEGENERATE
|
||
action: WARN — synthesis_verdict 다양성 확보 실패, 보고서 첫 줄 경고 의무
|
||
missing_policy: ticker_type 미확인 시 fx_beta=1.0(neutral) 적용
|
||
implementation: tools/build_predictive_alpha_dialectic_engine_v2.py:NF1
|
||
calibration_ref: spec/calibration_registry.yaml:NF1 (EXPERT_PRIOR)
|
||
version: 2026-06-04_NF1
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: active
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- base_macro_score
|
||
- ticker
|
||
- ticker_type
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- macro_factor_applied
|
||
golden_cases: []
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1:
|
||
purpose: >
|
||
개별 매수·매도 추천이 아니라 포트폴리오 전체의 사후 상태(전환 후 cash floor, 집중도, CVaR,
|
||
세후비용, 회전율)를 비교해 단일 최선 전환 또는 NO_TRADE를 결정론적으로 선택한다.
|
||
(governance/todo/v8_9_p0_adoption_plan.yaml P0-1.2,
|
||
source: suggest/quant_investment_engine_v8_9_portfolio_optimizer_canonical_refactored.yaml:portfolio_transition_optimizer_v8_9)
|
||
default_action: NO_TRADE
|
||
state_vector_fields:
|
||
- cash_ladder
|
||
- positions
|
||
- sector_exposure_graph
|
||
- tax_lots
|
||
- risk_bucket_weights
|
||
- goal_progress_pct
|
||
- data_quality_scores
|
||
candidate_action_schema:
|
||
- candidate_id
|
||
- asset_id
|
||
- action_type
|
||
- planned_amount_krw
|
||
- source_signal_ids
|
||
- numeric_provenance_status
|
||
hard_veto_order:
|
||
- DATA_INVALID
|
||
- EXECUTION_MODE_BLOCK
|
||
- CASH_FLOOR_BLOCK
|
||
- HARD_CONCENTRATION_BLOCK
|
||
- NEGATIVE_TRANSITION_UTILITY
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: ce70_net_profit_krw
|
||
source: Temp/forecast_simulation_engine_v1.json
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
missing_policy: DATA_MISSING — candidate excluded, not assumed zero
|
||
- field: tax_fee_slippage_krw
|
||
source: Temp/sell_waterfall_engine_v4.json
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
- field: cash_repair_benefit_krw
|
||
source: Temp/smart_cash_recovery_v9.json
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
- field: concentration_reduction_benefit_krw
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
- field: turnover_penalty_krw
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
expression: >
|
||
transition_utility_krw = ce70_net_profit_krw - tax_fee_slippage_krw - cvar_penalty_krw
|
||
- drawdown_penalty_krw + cash_repair_benefit_krw + concentration_reduction_benefit_krw
|
||
- turnover_penalty_krw
|
||
output:
|
||
field: transition_utility_krw
|
||
unit: KRW
|
||
acceptance_margin:
|
||
formula: acceptance_margin_krw = transition_utility_krw - max(mode_absolute_hurdle_krw, hurdle_multiple * estimated_total_cost_krw)
|
||
reject_if: acceptance_margin_krw <= 0
|
||
deterministic_fallbacks:
|
||
missing_optimizer_inputs: NO_TRADE_AND_QUARANTINE
|
||
solver_failure: NO_TRADE_AND_LOG_SOLVER_FAILURE
|
||
rank_tie: choose_lower_turnover_lower_tax_lower_marginal_risk_contribution
|
||
conflicting_runtime_packets: BLOCK_AND_REQUIRE_MANIFEST_REPAIR
|
||
missing_policy:
|
||
hard_constraint_input_missing: NO_TRADE_AND_QUARANTINE
|
||
canonical_ref: spec/risk/portfolio_exposure.yaml:concentration_caps_v8_9_supplement
|
||
implementation: tools/build_portfolio_transition_optimizer_v1.py
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: shadow
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- ce70_net_profit_krw
|
||
- tax_fee_slippage_krw
|
||
- cash_repair_benefit_krw
|
||
- concentration_reduction_benefit_krw
|
||
- turnover_penalty_krw
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- transition_utility_krw
|
||
- acceptance_margin_krw
|
||
- selected_transition
|
||
golden_cases:
|
||
- V89_002_no_trade_default
|
||
- V89_048_solver_failure
|
||
- V89_049_rank_tie
|
||
- V89_050_conflicting_packets
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
TRANSITION_SET_ENUMERATOR_V1:
|
||
purpose: >
|
||
PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1이 candidate 1건씩 평가하는 것을 넘어, 여러 candidate를
|
||
조합한 transition_set 단위로 hard_constraint_pass와 transition_utility_krw를 평가한다.
|
||
"좋은 후보 하나"가 포트폴리오 전체를 악화시키는 경우(V89_010)를 후보 조합 비교로 차단한다.
|
||
(governance/todo/v8_9_p2_adoption_plan.yaml P2-B,
|
||
source: suggest/quant_investment_engine_v8_9_portfolio_optimizer_canonical_refactored.yaml:portfolio_transition_optimizer_v8_9.selection_algorithm)
|
||
applicable: PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1이 candidate별 transition_utility_krw를 산출한 직후.
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: evaluated_candidates
|
||
unit: list_of_object
|
||
note: PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1.candidate_actions 산출(hard_constraint_pass, transition_utility_krw 포함)
|
||
- field: max_set_size
|
||
unit: count
|
||
default: 3
|
||
note: 조합 폭발 방지. v8.9 turnover_budget(주간 5%) 고려 시 동시 실행 후보는 통상 1~3건.
|
||
selection_algorithm:
|
||
- step_1: hard_constraint_pass=false인 candidate는 set 구성에서 제외(개별 veto 우선)
|
||
- step_2: 남은 candidate에서 크기 1..max_set_size의 모든 조합(transition_set)을 생성
|
||
- step_3: 각 transition_set의 post_trade_cash_floor_pct, post_trade_concentration_pct, post_trade_MRC(marginal_risk_contribution), post_trade_CVaR95_krw를 합산 재평가
|
||
- step_3b: post_trade_CVaR95_krw = sum(candidate.cvar95_loss_krw for candidate in set) — SCENARIO_SHOCK_MATRIX_V1.crisis_case 기준 사용(가장 보수적)
|
||
- step_3c: post_trade_MRC = sum(candidate.marginal_risk_contribution for candidate in set) / portfolio_total_risk_budget
|
||
- step_4: set_hard_constraint_pass=false인 set은 제외 (개별 candidate는 PASS했어도 조합 시 cash_floor/concentration/MRC/CVaR cap을 넘을 수 있음)
|
||
- step_5: set_transition_utility_krw = sum(candidate.transition_utility_krw for candidate in set) - combination_penalty_krw
|
||
- step_6: set_transition_utility_krw가 최대인 set 선택. 동률이면 PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1.deterministic_fallbacks.rank_tie 규칙 재사용
|
||
- step_7: 통과하는 set이 하나도 없으면 NO_TRADE (개별 candidate가 전부 PASS여도 조합 검증을 통과 못하면 거부)
|
||
combination_penalty_krw:
|
||
formula: complexity_penalty_rate * (len(transition_set) - 1)
|
||
note: 후보 수가 많을수록 실행 복잡도·동시 슬리피지 리스크 증가를 반영한 페널티.
|
||
output:
|
||
field: selected_transition_set
|
||
unit: list_of_candidate_id
|
||
additional_outputs:
|
||
- set_transition_utility_krw
|
||
- set_hard_constraint_pass
|
||
- rejected_sets_count
|
||
- post_trade_mrc
|
||
- post_trade_cvar95_krw
|
||
missing_policy: evaluated_candidates가 비어 있으면 selected_transition_set=[] + NO_TRADE. 빈 조합을 임의로 채우지 않는다. cvar95_loss_krw가 candidate에 없으면(SCENARIO_SHOCK_MATRIX_V1 미실행) post_trade_cvar95_krw=null이며 해당 set은 set_hard_constraint_pass 판정에서 CVaR 기준을 PARTIAL로 표기.
|
||
canonical_ref: spec/formulas/domains/portfolio.yaml:PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1
|
||
implementation: tools/build_transition_set_enumerator_v1.py
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: shadow
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- evaluated_candidates
|
||
- max_set_size
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- selected_transition_set
|
||
- set_transition_utility_krw
|
||
- set_hard_constraint_pass
|
||
- post_trade_mrc
|
||
- post_trade_cvar95_krw
|
||
golden_cases:
|
||
- V89_010_candidate_good_portfolio_bad
|
||
- V89_048_solver_failure
|
||
- V89_049_rank_tie
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
STATE_VECTOR_CONSTRUCTOR_V1:
|
||
purpose: >
|
||
holdings, cash, tax_lots, sector_graph, factor_exposures, macro_regime_probabilities를
|
||
단일 state_vector로 통합해 PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1과 TRANSITION_SET_ENUMERATOR_V1이
|
||
동일한 포트폴리오 스냅샷을 참조하도록 한다. 부분 입력으로 state_vector를 임의 보완하지 않는다.
|
||
(governance/todo/v8_9_p3_adoption_plan.yaml P3-A,
|
||
source: suggest/quant_investment_engine_v8_9_portfolio_optimizer_canonical_refactored.yaml:implementation_todo_v8_9.P1_optimizer_and_simulation)
|
||
applicable: MODEL_GOVERNANCE_GATE에서 execution_mode 확정 직후, HARD_FILTER_CHECK 이전.
|
||
component_sources:
|
||
cash_ladder: spec/formulas/domains/cash.yaml:CASH_RATIOS_V1
|
||
positions: spec/15_account_snapshot_contract.yaml
|
||
sector_exposure_graph: spec/formulas/domains/sector.yaml:SECTOR_EXPOSURE_GRAPH_V1
|
||
factor_exposures: spec/risk/factor_risk.yaml
|
||
tax_lots: spec/15_account_snapshot_contract.yaml
|
||
risk_bucket_weights: spec/risk/portfolio_exposure.yaml
|
||
macro_regime_probabilities: spec/risk/market_risk_cash.yaml
|
||
goal_progress_pct: spec/13_formula_registry.yaml:formula_registry.formulas.GOAL_RETIREMENT_V1
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: cash_ladder
|
||
unit: json
|
||
- field: positions
|
||
unit: list_of_object
|
||
- field: sector_exposure_graph
|
||
unit: list_of_object
|
||
- field: factor_exposures
|
||
unit: list_of_object
|
||
- field: tax_lots
|
||
unit: list_of_object
|
||
- field: risk_bucket_weights
|
||
unit: object
|
||
- field: macro_regime_probabilities
|
||
unit: object
|
||
- field: goal_progress_pct
|
||
unit: percent
|
||
output:
|
||
field: state_vector
|
||
unit: object
|
||
additional_outputs:
|
||
- state_vector_completeness_pct
|
||
- missing_components
|
||
missing_policy: 결측 component는 state_vector에서 null로 유지하고 missing_components에 기록한다. 다른 component로 추정 보완 금지.
|
||
canonical_ref: spec/formulas/domains/portfolio.yaml:PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1
|
||
implementation: tools/build_state_vector_constructor_v1.py
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: shadow
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- cash_ladder
|
||
- positions
|
||
- sector_exposure_graph
|
||
- factor_exposures
|
||
- tax_lots
|
||
- risk_bucket_weights
|
||
- macro_regime_probabilities
|
||
- goal_progress_pct
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- state_vector
|
||
- state_vector_completeness_pct
|
||
- missing_components
|
||
golden_cases:
|
||
- V89_052_goal_far_from_target
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|
||
REBALANCE_CADENCE_GATE_V1:
|
||
purpose: >
|
||
주간(토/일) 및 매월 1/11/21일 점검을 의무 실행하되, 실제 리밸런싱(매수/매도 실행)은
|
||
transition_utility_after_tax_cost가 양수이거나 hard_risk_block이 active일 때만 허용한다.
|
||
점검 자체는 항상 emit되어 "점검을 안 했다"는 누락을 방지하지만, 결과가 기준 미달이면 NO_TRADE.
|
||
(governance/todo/v8_9_p3_adoption_plan.yaml P3-D,
|
||
source: suggest/quant_investment_engine_v8_9_portfolio_optimizer_canonical_refactored.yaml:implementation_todo_v8_9.P3_sell_and_rebalance,
|
||
rebalancing_engine_v8_9.mandatory_schedule)
|
||
applicable: 매주 토/일 또는 매월 1/11/21일. PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_REVIEW 진입 조건.
|
||
mandatory_schedule:
|
||
weekly_days: [SATURDAY, SUNDAY]
|
||
monthly_mid_check_days: [1, 11, 21]
|
||
event_driven_triggers: [cash_floor_break, crisis_score_red_or_black, hard_concentration_breach, data_quarantine_material]
|
||
inputs:
|
||
- field: today_date
|
||
unit: date
|
||
- field: transition_utility_after_tax_cost_krw
|
||
unit: number_or_null
|
||
source: spec/formulas/domains/portfolio.yaml:PORTFOLIO_TRANSITION_UTILITY_V1
|
||
- field: hard_risk_block_active
|
||
unit: boolean
|
||
source: spec/risk/aggregate_risk.yaml
|
||
cadence_check_rule: >
|
||
today_date가 weekly_days, monthly_mid_check_days, event_driven_triggers 중 하나라도 충족하면
|
||
cadence_check_required=true이며 점검 결과(review_emitted)는 항상 emit한다.
|
||
rebalance_execution_rule: >
|
||
cadence_check_required=true이고 (transition_utility_after_tax_cost_krw > 0 OR hard_risk_block_active=true)
|
||
일 때만 rebalance_execution_allowed=true. 그 외에는 review_emitted=true이지만 rebalance_execution_allowed=false
|
||
(점검은 했지만 NO_TRADE).
|
||
output:
|
||
field: rebalance_execution_allowed
|
||
unit: boolean
|
||
additional_outputs:
|
||
- cadence_check_required
|
||
- review_emitted
|
||
- cadence_trigger_reason
|
||
missing_policy: transition_utility_after_tax_cost_krw가 null이면 hard_risk_block_active만으로 판정. 둘 다 null이면 rebalance_execution_allowed=false + DATA_MISSING.
|
||
canonical_ref: spec/risk/aggregate_risk.yaml
|
||
implementation: tools/build_rebalance_cadence_gate_v1.py
|
||
owner: quant_team
|
||
lifecycle_state: shadow
|
||
input_fields:
|
||
- today_date
|
||
- transition_utility_after_tax_cost_krw
|
||
- hard_risk_block_active
|
||
output_fields:
|
||
- rebalance_execution_allowed
|
||
- cadence_check_required
|
||
- review_emitted
|
||
golden_cases:
|
||
- V89_032_no_trade_band
|
||
- V89_033_hard_block_overrides_band
|
||
- V89_053_weekly_rebalance_required
|
||
- V89_054_mid_check_required
|
||
activation_threshold:
|
||
min_t20_sample: 30
|
||
retirement_condition: performance_degradation
|