Files
QuantEngineByItz/tools/build_confidence_calibration_v2.py
kjh2064 ee3e799de1 feat: 리밸런싱 엔진 V1 + GAS 버그 수정 (2026-06-13)
주요 변경:
- tools/build_rebalance_engine_v1.py: REBALANCE_ENGINE_V1 신규
  * account_snapshot 직접 합산(_build_snap_position_map) → 소수주 분리 행 병합
  * 레짐 소스 macro.REGIME_PRELIM 최우선 (GAS 와 동일)
- src/gas_adapter_parts/gdf_06_rebalance.gs: runRebalanceSheet_() 신규
  * Logger.log / getSpreadsheet_() 로 run_all 연동 수정
- src/gas_adapter_parts/gdc_01_fetch_fundamentals.gs
  * _mergePositionRecord_(): 소수주 중복 행 합산 신규
  * parseInt → parseFloat (qty, availQty)
- src/gas_adapter_parts/gdf_01_price_metrics.gs
  * 미보유 종목 SELL_READY → WATCH_EXIT_SIGNAL
- spec/41_release_dag.yaml: build_rebalance_sheet 노드 추가 (step_count 63)
- spec/51_formula_lifecycle_registry.yaml: REBALANCE_ENGINE_V1 등록

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-13 13:20:14 +09:00

70 lines
2.6 KiB
Python

from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import json
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from statistics import mean
from v7_hardening_common import ROOT, TEMP, load_json, save_json
DEFAULT_OUT = TEMP / "confidence_calibration_v2.json"
def _label_rank(label: str) -> int:
order = {
"BEARISH": 0,
"NEUTRAL": 1,
"BULLISH": 2,
"STRONG_BULLISH": 3,
}
return order.get(str(label).upper(), 1)
def main() -> int:
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
ap.add_argument("--out", default=str(DEFAULT_OUT))
args = ap.parse_args()
exposure = load_json(TEMP / "imputed_data_exposure_gate_v2.json")
pred = load_json(TEMP / "prediction_accuracy_harness_v2.json")
conf = load_json(TEMP / "portfolio_alpha_confidence_per_ticker_v1.json")
rows = [r for r in conf.get("rows", []) if isinstance(r, dict)]
monotonic = True
if rows:
ordered = sorted(rows, key=lambda r: float(r.get("pac_score") or 0.0))
label_scores = [_label_rank(r.get("pac_label") or "") for r in ordered]
monotonic = all(a <= b for a, b in zip(label_scores, label_scores[1:]))
high_conf_low_evidence = sum(
1 for r in rows
if float(r.get("pac_score") or 0.0) >= 80.0 and str(r.get("fundamental_grade") or "").upper() in {"D", "F", "E"}
)
result = {
"formula_id": "CONFIDENCE_CALIBRATION_V2",
"generated_at": datetime.now(timezone.utc).isoformat(),
"confidence_cap_basis_score": float(exposure.get("raw_confidence_cap_basis") or exposure.get("effective_confidence_honest") or 0.0),
"effective_confidence_honest": float(exposure.get("effective_confidence_honest") or 0.0),
"confidence_cap_gap_pct": round(float(exposure.get("confidence_cap_inflation_gap") or 0.0), 1),
"calibration_brier_score_improving": str(pred.get("calibration_state") or "").upper() == "CALIBRATED",
"confidence_bucket_monotonicity": "PASS" if monotonic else "FAIL",
"high_confidence_low_evidence_count": high_conf_low_evidence,
"calibration_state": pred.get("calibration_state"),
"portfolio_label_diversity": int(conf.get("label_diversity") or 0),
"portfolio_score_mean": round(mean(float(r.get("pac_score") or 0.0) for r in rows), 2) if rows else 0.0,
"source_paths": [
"Temp/imputed_data_exposure_gate_v2.json",
"Temp/prediction_accuracy_harness_v2.json",
"Temp/portfolio_alpha_confidence_per_ticker_v1.json",
],
}
save_json(args.out, result)
print(json.dumps(result, ensure_ascii=False, indent=2))
return 0
if __name__ == "__main__":
raise SystemExit(main())