"""Golden tests for FORECAST_SIMULATION_ENGINE_V1 (governance/todo/v8_9_p0_adoption_plan.yaml P0-3.3). Maps to v8.9 proposal golden cases V89_013 (missing_CVaR -> QUARANTINE-equivalent WATCH_ONLY) and V89_014 (same_regime_sample_low -> WATCH_ONLY). """ from __future__ import annotations import importlib.util import json from pathlib import Path ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[3] MODULE_PATH = ROOT / "tools" / "build_forecast_simulation_engine_v1.py" def _load_module(): spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location("build_forecast_simulation_engine_v1", MODULE_PATH) module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) assert spec.loader is not None spec.loader.exec_module(module) return module def test_v89_013_missing_distribution_returns_watch_only_with_null_outputs(tmp_path) -> None: mod = _load_module() decision_packet = tmp_path / "decision_packet.json" decision_packet.write_text(json.dumps({"execution_mode": "SHADOW"}), encoding="utf-8") out = tmp_path / "out.json" import sys sys.argv = [ "build_forecast_simulation_engine_v1.py", "--backtest-contract", str(tmp_path / "missing_contract.yaml"), "--distribution", str(tmp_path / "missing_distribution.json"), "--decision-packet", str(decision_packet), "--out", str(out), ] assert mod.main() == 0 result = json.loads(out.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) assert result["gate"] == "WATCH_ONLY" assert result["ce70_net_profit_krw"] is None assert result["cvar95_loss_krw"] is None def test_v89_014_same_regime_sample_below_shadow_minimum_blocks_compute() -> None: mod = _load_module() rule = mod.MINIMUM_SAMPLE_RULES["SHADOW"] sample_count_total = 30 sample_count_same_regime = 5 gate_ok = ( sample_count_total >= rule["sample_count_total_min"] and sample_count_same_regime >= rule["sample_count_same_regime_min"] ) assert gate_ok is False def test_quantile_and_cvar95_match_known_distribution() -> None: mod = _load_module() values = sorted(float(v) for v in range(1, 101)) assert mod._quantile(values, 0.5) == 50.5 assert mod._cvar95(values) <= values[4]