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Initial commit: Add project files
2026-08-02 05:15:36 +09:00

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{
"contractVersion": "outcome-metrics.v2",
"status": "PROPOSED",
"commonRules": {
"pointInTime": true,
"revisionAware": true,
"costs": ["fee", "tax", "fx", "slippage"],
"windowsTradingDays": [1, 5, 20, 63, 126, 252],
"attribution": ["recommendation", "publication", "clientDecision", "execution"]
},
"metrics": [
{
"metricCode": "OPERATIONAL_INTEGRITY_ERRORS",
"numerator": "count of duplicate, lookahead, unauthorized publication, unreconciled critical breaks and immutable-evidence violations",
"denominator": "one evaluation run",
"aggregation": "sum",
"threshold": "0"
},
{
"metricCode": "FALSE_EXIT_ANNUAL_RATE",
"numerator": "eligible non-impairment exits followed by approved adverse-regret condition within the versioned evaluation window",
"denominator": "all eligible non-impairment exits in the same cohort",
"aggregation": "annualized cohort ratio",
"threshold": "<=0.02",
"decisionRequired": "The exact adverse-regret price and benchmark definition must be approved before production use."
},
{
"metricCode": "REENTRY_CAPTURE_RATE",
"numerator": "eligible exits whose versioned reentry contract produced a valid stage-ready observation within 126 trading days",
"denominator": "all eligible non-impairment exits with complete data",
"aggregation": "cohort ratio",
"threshold": ">=0.65"
},
{
"metricCode": "NET_EXPECTED_UTILITY",
"numerator": "realized or calibrated expected benefit after risk, fee, tax, FX, slippage and reentry option loss",
"denominator": "one evaluated decision or cohort",
"aggregation": "mean with confidence interval",
"threshold": ">0 and lower confidence bound >0 for opportunity replacement"
},
{
"metricCode": "PBO",
"numerator": "CSCV combinations where in-sample winner underperforms out of sample",
"denominator": "all approved CSCV combinations",
"aggregation": "probability",
"threshold": "<=0.20"
},
{
"metricCode": "DSR",
"numerator": "deflated performance statistic adjusted for multiple testing and non-normality",
"denominator": "approved experiment registry",
"aggregation": "probability/confidence",
"threshold": ">=0.95"
}
]
}