{ "contractVersion": "outcome-metrics.v2", "status": "PROPOSED", "commonRules": { "pointInTime": true, "revisionAware": true, "costs": ["fee", "tax", "fx", "slippage"], "windowsTradingDays": [1, 5, 20, 63, 126, 252], "attribution": ["recommendation", "publication", "clientDecision", "execution"] }, "metrics": [ { "metricCode": "OPERATIONAL_INTEGRITY_ERRORS", "numerator": "count of duplicate, lookahead, unauthorized publication, unreconciled critical breaks and immutable-evidence violations", "denominator": "one evaluation run", "aggregation": "sum", "threshold": "0" }, { "metricCode": "FALSE_EXIT_ANNUAL_RATE", "numerator": "eligible non-impairment exits followed by approved adverse-regret condition within the versioned evaluation window", "denominator": "all eligible non-impairment exits in the same cohort", "aggregation": "annualized cohort ratio", "threshold": "<=0.02", "decisionRequired": "The exact adverse-regret price and benchmark definition must be approved before production use." }, { "metricCode": "REENTRY_CAPTURE_RATE", "numerator": "eligible exits whose versioned reentry contract produced a valid stage-ready observation within 126 trading days", "denominator": "all eligible non-impairment exits with complete data", "aggregation": "cohort ratio", "threshold": ">=0.65" }, { "metricCode": "NET_EXPECTED_UTILITY", "numerator": "realized or calibrated expected benefit after risk, fee, tax, FX, slippage and reentry option loss", "denominator": "one evaluated decision or cohort", "aggregation": "mean with confidence interval", "threshold": ">0 and lower confidence bound >0 for opportunity replacement" }, { "metricCode": "PBO", "numerator": "CSCV combinations where in-sample winner underperforms out of sample", "denominator": "all approved CSCV combinations", "aggregation": "probability", "threshold": "<=0.20" }, { "metricCode": "DSR", "numerator": "deflated performance statistic adjusted for multiple testing and non-normality", "denominator": "approved experiment registry", "aggregation": "probability/confidence", "threshold": ">=0.95" } ] }