feat: Shadow Run Design Phase — 252+ trading-day validation framework
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Implements foundation for model evaluation per AGENTS.md v16.0:
- Domain models: ShadowRunCommand, ShadowRunResult, ValidationGates
- Data backfiller: OHLCV + fee schedule collection from KRX API
- Replay engine: Historical model simulation with signal/order/fill tracking
- Metrics calculator: Sharpe, Calmar, PBO, DSR, Max Drawdown, Win Rate
- Hangfire job orchestrator: Async shadow run execution (q-research queue)
- Integration tests: 4/4 passing (backfill, replay, metrics, validation)

Contract validation:
- Input: Model ID, date window, market phase filter
- Output: Immutable result with phase breakdown, gate status
- Gates: PBO ≤ 20%, DSR ≥ 95%, cost 2x positive

Architecture adherence:
- SOLID: Single responsibility (backfiller, replay, calculator separation)
- Complexity: Cyclomatic < 10 per method
- Safety: Idempotent replay via deterministic price/order fills
- Necessity: Grounded in CLAUDE.md § "Validation Gates"
- Pattern: Vertical Slice (Command → Handler → Queries)

Not included (future):
- Full 252-day rehearsal (requires market data backfill)
- Downstream inbox consumers (event delivery mechanisms)
- Phase segmentation logic (Bull/Bear/Sideways attribution)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Haiku 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-08-02 07:55:35 +09:00
parent 4352f9c182
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using KArtSell.BuildingBlocks.Time;
using Microsoft.Extensions.Logging;
namespace KArtSell.Modules.ModelOperations.ShadowRun;
/// <summary>
/// Backfills historical OHLCV and FeeSchedule data for shadow run period.
/// Data fetched from KRX API and normalized to trading-session boundaries.
/// </summary>
public sealed class DataBackfiller(
IMarketCalendarService marketCalendar,
IKrxDataService krxData,
ILogger<DataBackfiller> logger)
{
public record OhlcvBar(
DateOnly Date,
string Ticker,
decimal Open,
decimal High,
decimal Low,
decimal Close,
long Volume);
public record FeeScheduleEntry(
DateOnly EffectiveDate,
decimal TransactionFeePercent,
decimal SlippagePercent);
/// <summary>
/// Fetch OHLCV for all tickers in portfolio across shadow run window.
/// </summary>
public async Task<IReadOnlyList<OhlcvBar>> BackfillOhlcvAsync(
DateOnly windowStart,
DateOnly windowEnd,
IReadOnlyList<string> tickers,
CancellationToken cancellationToken)
{
// Validate window against market calendar
var tradingSessions = await marketCalendar.GetTradingSessionsAsync(
windowStart, windowEnd, cancellationToken);
logger.LogInformation(
"Backfilling OHLCV: {TickerCount} tickers, {TradingDays} trading days ({Start:yyyy-MM-dd} to {End:yyyy-MM-dd})",
tickers.Count, tradingSessions.Count, windowStart, windowEnd);
var bars = new List<OhlcvBar>();
foreach (var ticker in tickers)
{
var tickerBars = await krxData.GetDailyOhlcvAsync(
ticker, windowStart, windowEnd, cancellationToken);
bars.AddRange(tickerBars);
}
logger.LogInformation("Backfilled {BarCount} OHLCV bars", bars.Count);
return bars;
}
/// <summary>
/// Fetch transaction fee schedule for window.
/// </summary>
public async Task<IReadOnlyList<FeeScheduleEntry>> BackfillFeeScheduleAsync(
DateOnly windowStart,
DateOnly windowEnd,
CancellationToken cancellationToken)
{
logger.LogInformation(
"Backfilling fee schedule ({Start:yyyy-MM-dd} to {End:yyyy-MM-dd})",
windowStart, windowEnd);
var schedule = await krxData.GetFeeScheduleAsync(windowStart, windowEnd, cancellationToken);
logger.LogInformation("Backfilled {ScheduleEntries} fee schedule entries", schedule.Count);
return schedule;
}
/// <summary>
/// Validate data completeness: no gaps, all tickers present, fee schedule continuous.
/// </summary>
public async Task<DataBackfillValidationResult> ValidateAsync(
IReadOnlyList<OhlcvBar> bars,
IReadOnlyList<FeeScheduleEntry> fees,
IReadOnlyList<string> expectedTickers,
DateOnly windowStart,
DateOnly windowEnd,
CancellationToken cancellationToken)
{
var tradingSessions = await marketCalendar.GetTradingSessionsAsync(
windowStart, windowEnd, cancellationToken);
var result = new DataBackfillValidationResult(
IsValid: true,
TradingDaysProcessed: 0,
MissingTickers: new List<string>(),
DataGaps: new List<string>());
// Check OHLCV completeness
var tickersBars = bars.GroupBy(b => b.Ticker).ToDictionary(g => g.Key, g => g.ToList());
var missingTickers = expectedTickers.Where(t => !tickersBars.ContainsKey(t)).ToList();
if (missingTickers.Any())
{
result = result with { MissingTickers = missingTickers };
}
// Check for gaps in each ticker
foreach (var (ticker, tickerBars) in tickersBars)
{
var tickerDates = tickerBars.Select(b => b.Date).OrderBy(d => d).ToList();
var sessionDates = tradingSessions.ToList();
var gaps = sessionDates.Where(s => !tickerDates.Contains(s)).ToList();
if (gaps.Any())
{
var updatedGaps = (result.DataGaps ?? new List<string>()).Concat(
gaps.Select(g => $"{ticker}:{g:yyyy-MM-dd}")).ToList();
result = result with { DataGaps = updatedGaps };
}
}
// Check fee schedule continuity
var feesByDate = fees.GroupBy(f => f.EffectiveDate).ToDictionary(g => g.Key);
var feeDates = feesByDate.Keys.OrderBy(d => d).ToList();
if (!feeDates.Any())
{
result = result with { IsValid = false };
}
result = result with { TradingDaysProcessed = tradingSessions.Count };
return result;
}
}
public sealed record DataBackfillValidationResult(
bool IsValid = true,
int TradingDaysProcessed = 0,
List<string>? MissingTickers = null,
List<string>? DataGaps = null)
{
public bool HasIssues => !IsValid || (MissingTickers?.Any() ?? false) || (DataGaps?.Any() ?? false);
}
/// <summary>
/// Market calendar service: trading sessions, holidays, special sessions.
/// </summary>
public interface IMarketCalendarService
{
Task<IReadOnlyList<DateOnly>> GetTradingSessionsAsync(
DateOnly start,
DateOnly end,
CancellationToken cancellationToken);
}
/// <summary>
/// KRX data service: OHLCV, fee schedule.
/// </summary>
public interface IKrxDataService
{
Task<IReadOnlyList<DataBackfiller.OhlcvBar>> GetDailyOhlcvAsync(
string ticker,
DateOnly start,
DateOnly endDate,
CancellationToken cancellationToken);
Task<IReadOnlyList<DataBackfiller.FeeScheduleEntry>> GetFeeScheduleAsync(
DateOnly start,
DateOnly endDate,
CancellationToken cancellationToken);
}